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7M Tips: Portugal vs Wales

Wednesday, July 06, 2016 Source: 7M Sport

AH market provided Portugal 0/-0.5 with low odds for the opening line. Then Macauslot once lifted the line to Portugal -0.5 above high odds, but later they changed it back to the opening line again. William Hill 1x2 Odds had 1/3/4 for the opening line, and measures were taken to lift the odds for home win and decline the odds for draw and home defeat after betting. From the preliminary analysis, Portugal may stay at the unbeaten situation. If Portugal were given -0.5 with high odds earlier after betting, they were likely to win the odds. But if the odds lifted just before kick-off, this may be a bait, so we could bet Wales unbeaten. If it maintained 0/-0.5 with low odds before kick-off, we could bet Portugal unbeaten.

Team Facts

Portugal

· Portugal met Poland in the quarter final. Robert Lewandowski found the net shortly after kick-off, and Renato Sanches saw the equalizer with his effort. Both sides ended up with draws in 120 minutes. Thanks to Santos Patricio's effort to deny Kuba's penalty, Portugal had the last laugh.

· Since last Euro Cup semi-final against Spain, Portugal have extended their draws in normal time to 6 successive Euro Cup games.

· This would be both sides' formal encounter in history, Portugal grabbed 2 wins and 1 defeat in the past 3 friendly matches against Wales.

· This match would be Portugal's 5th Euro Cup semi-final in history. Among their previous 4 semi-final adventures, they only went through to the final on home soil in 2004. Besides, Portugal also lost both of their World Cup semi-finals.

· Portugal had 4 shoot-outs in their major competition history, and they ended up with 3 wins and 1 defeat. They only lowered their heads ahead of Spain in Euro 2012 semi-final shoot-out.

· There is still no any team could win twice successively in shoot-out during Euro Cup history. Before being eliminated by Portugal, Poland also won in the shoot-out.

· Cristiano Ronaldo would become the first player who put his feet on the semi-final pitch 3 times in Euro Cup history.

· This match would be held in Lyon Stadium. And Cristiano Ronaldo found the net in both of his last 2 appearances in this venue - 2-0 away victory against Lyonnais in the group stage match of 2011 Champion League during his Real Madrid spell, and 3-3 draw against Hungary in the group stage match in this tournament.

· Central midfielder William Carvalho booked a yellow card in the last match against Poland, so he would be suspended with 2 yellow cards on hand.

Wales

· Wales beat Belgium 3-1 in their quarter-final clash, Radja Nainggolan broke the stalemate in the first half, but Ashley Williams found the equalizer later. In the second half Hal Robson-Kanu presented Cruyff-style turn-around shooting, then Sam Vokes secured their victory.

· This is Wales national team's first semi-final in international competitions among their history. They are also the first side who played in Euro Cup Finals first time and saw all their way through to the semi-final since Sweden in 1992.

· There is only 1 semi-final adventure of Europe competitions in Wales football history. During the 1967/68 Season, Cardiff City progressed into the semi-final of UEFA Cup Winners' Cup, but they lost against Hamburg 3-4 on aggregate.

· During Wales qualifier phase, Gareth Bale scored 7 of Wales' total goals and provided 2 assists, which means he made contribution to Wales 82% goals in this phase.

· After their finals phase, Gareth Bale only contribute to 40% of Wales goals, he only scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist so far. Therefore "The Dragon" alleviated their reliance on Bale to some extent.

· Wales have never take part in shoot-out, so their experience in this area is at an absolute disadvantage.

· Midfield key player Aaron Ramsey and defender Ben Davies have 2 yellow cards on hands and would be suspended in this match. With 1 goal and 4 assists, Aaron Ramsey played his role in half of Wales goals in this tournament's finals. So his absence would be a big impact on Wales attacking power.

· This match would be Bale's 5th clash against Cristiano Ronaldo, and he lost previous 4 of them. Their first encounter dates back to the 3rd round of 2009 FA Cup, at that time Manchester United reversed 2-1 to beat Tottenham Hotspur. In that Premier League season Manchester United also won 4-0 against Tottenham Hotspur at home, Bale only played 4 minutes. After Ronaldo joining Real Madrid, he still kept his winning run against Bale. Real Madrid swept away Tottenham Hotspur 4-0 at home in the last 8 clash in Champions League, then they snapped a 1-0 narrow win at White Hart Lane to beat Tottenham Hotspur twice.

· Bale played against Belgium with injury, which dims his performance in that match. It's reported that he still suffers from musculi soleus injury. Although this injury would not hamper him to go on the semi-final pitch, his condition still remains doubtful under such an injury setback.

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